Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.005745 0.006574 0.007532 0.008735 0.010222 0.012025 0.014415
2025-11-23 0.004685 0.005725 0.007049 0.008902 0.011507 0.015172 0.020984
2025-11-30 0.003983 0.005069 0.006536 0.008746 0.012145 0.017493 0.027315
2025-12-07 0.003460 0.004530 0.006041 0.008441 0.012402 0.019222 0.033467
2025-12-14 0.003114 0.004176 0.005732 0.008323 0.012877 0.021423 0.041747
2025-12-21 0.002932 0.004029 0.005697 0.008613 0.014101 0.025449 0.057058
2025-12-28 0.002811 0.003951 0.005749 0.009050 0.015707 0.030986 0.082192
2026-01-04 0.002649 0.003791 0.005643 0.009175 0.016719 0.035669 0.111376
2026-01-11 0.002476 0.003592 0.005442 0.009084 0.017236 0.039361 0.143529
2026-01-18 0.002342 0.003444 0.005311 0.009103 0.018014 0.044289 0.194254
2026-01-25 0.002188 0.003248 0.005074 0.008867 0.018106 0.047145 0.242089
2026-02-01 0.002024 0.003024 0.004764 0.008432 0.017589 0.047671 0.275512
2026-02-08 0.001878 0.002830 0.004508 0.008118 0.017432 0.049971 0.345332
2026-02-15 0.001802 0.002752 0.004463 0.008267 0.018631 0.058905 0.581582
2026-02-22 0.001701 0.002621 0.004303 0.008126 0.018951 0.064443 0.869560
2026-03-01 0.001596 0.002474 0.004098 0.007851 0.018783 0.067580 1.204646
2026-03-08 0.001518 0.002372 0.003972 0.007745 0.019135 0.074113 2.026553
2026-03-15 0.001483 0.002346 0.003995 0.008007 0.020835 0.091476 6.745364
2026-03-22 0.001462 0.002342 0.004063 0.008401 0.023212 0.119197 107.009423
2026-03-29 0.001417 0.002292 0.004028 0.008514 0.024586 0.142984 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001361 0.002214 0.003926 0.008431 0.025140 0.160861 NaN
2026-04-12 0.001316 0.002156 0.003864 0.008449 0.026160 0.188503 NaN
2026-04-19 0.001257 0.002069 0.003728 0.008236 0.026055 0.201626 NaN